Develop a Methodology for Cyber-Electronic Warfare Battle Damage Assessment (BDA) using Game Theory

The Cyber Battle Damage Assessment Tool (CyBDAT) will allow warfighters to quantify the probabilities associated with CNA, CNE and EA and facilitate for the direct comparison of cyber attacks to kinetic attacks in mission planning. CyBDAT creates a directed graph Markov attack model of the cyber attack mission from a user provided disablement chain for the mission and a model of the target network. This is accomplished using a multi-dimensional taxonomy of the CNA/CNE/EA attack space and a library of attack scenario templates. CyBDAT include several significant innovations and enhancements to the current state-of-the-art. First, it is an application of gaming theory to offensive cyber. Second, CyBDAT used a very detailed attack model and simplified game theory models is rather than the opposite which is common in defense modeling. Third, a GUI based comparison tool allows users to view the results of cyber and kinetic attack modeling on a graphical view of the disablement chain with the probability of disablement and the comparison of non-weaponeering effects, and allows for the user to. The comparison tool will allow the warfighter to make a completely informed decision on the attack method to be chosen, and to plan for back-up attacks, if necessary, to increase the probability of overall mission success. In Phase I we will design the comparison tool and implement a bare bones version to enable the proof-of-concept prototype demonstration.