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Application of Global Weather and Climate Model Output to the Design and…

Award Information

Agency:
Department of Energy
Branch:
N/A
Award ID:
Program Year/Program:
2013 / STTR
Agency Tracking Number:
98740
Solicitation Year:
2013
Solicitation Topic Code:
07b
Solicitation Number:
DE-FOA-0000782
Small Business Information
Climate Forecast Applications Network, LLC
845 Spring St. NW #129 Atlanta, GA 30308-1043
View profile »
Woman-Owned: Yes
Minority-Owned: No
HUBZone-Owned: No
 
Phase 2
Fiscal Year: 2013
Title: Application of Global Weather and Climate Model Output to the Design and Operatio of Wind-Energy Systems
Agency: DOE
Contract: DE-FG02-12ER86505
Award Amount: $980,932.00
 

Abstract:

This proposal addresses the challenge of providing weather and climate information to support the operation, management and planning for wind-energy systems. There is a growing need for extended range forecast information as wind power increases its penetration into the grid. Future scenarios on decadal time scales are needed to support assessment of wind farm siting, long-term purchase agreements and the regulatory environment. To address this challenge, CFAN has developed a hybrid statistical/dynamical forecasting scheme for delivering probabilistic forecasts on time scales from one day to seven months using what is arguably the best forecasting system in the world (European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, ECMWF). The project also provides a framework to assess future wind power through developing scenarios of inter-annual to decadal climate variability and change. The Phase I project conducted a pilot study for the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) region. The project included: assembly and evaluation of relevant data sets; development and evaluation of an ensemble prediction framework for forecasting regional wind power generation and demand on time scales from days to months; development of strategies to assess long term (decadal) changes to the regional wind power environment; and formulation of an online tool that provides decision makers with actionable information related to wind power forecasts and projections. The proposed Phase II project will further develop the capabilities begun during Phase II and extend the project to include the continental U.S. and offshore regions. The objective is to develop a commercially viable capability for the growing array of diversified users in the wind energy forecast market. Commercial Applications and Other Benefits: Customers and end-users of these products include wind farm operators, regional power providers, grid system operators, and energy sales and trading. The other target application is assessment of wind energy project feasibility, to select favorable sites where wind is strongest and year-to-year variability is minimized. Customers for such assessments are project owners, government planners, regulatory agencies, and investors.

Principal Investigator:

Judith Curry
Dr.
4048945638
curryja@eas.gatech.edu

Business Contact:

Judith Curry
Dr.
4048945638
curryja@eas.gatech.edu
Small Business Information at Submission:

Climate Forecast Applications
845 Spring St. NW #129 Atlanta, GA 30308-1043

EIN/Tax ID: 204268798
DUNS: N/A
Number of Employees:
Woman-Owned: Yes
Minority-Owned: No
HUBZone-Owned: No
Research Institution Information:
Georgia Tech
311 Ferst Drive
Atlanta, GA 30332-0340
Contact: