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Optimized Planning for Threat Interception using Markets for Uncertainty Management (OPTIMUM)

Award Information
Agency: Department of Defense
Branch: Missile Defense Agency
Contract: W9113M-08-C-0086
Agency Tracking Number: B073-045-0054
Amount: $99,695.00
Phase: Phase I
Program: SBIR
Solicitation Topic Code: MDA07-045
Solicitation Number: 2007.3
Timeline
Solicitation Year: 2007
Award Year: 2008
Award Start Date (Proposal Award Date): 2008-02-19
Award End Date (Contract End Date): 2008-08-12
Small Business Information
625 Mount Auburn Street
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States
DUNS: 115243701
HUBZone Owned: No
Woman Owned: No
Socially and Economically Disadvantaged: No
Principal Investigator
 Christopher Farnham
 Senior Software Engineer
 (617) 491-3474
 cfarnham@cra.com
Business Contact
 Jennifer Barron
Title: Director, Contracts
Phone: (617) 491-3474
Email: jbarron@cra.com
Research Institution
N/A
Abstract

Emerging threats and technologies have significantly increased the requirements for successful battle management and fire control in ballistic missile defense applications. The growing interdependencies between weapons and sensor systems demand defensive planning tools that integrate weapon allocation with sensor management, and problems such as inventory management and weapon-to-target assignment create the need for predictive planning that can manage the uncertainty and risk that dominates missile defense. Here, we propose Optimized Planning for Threat Interception using Markets for Uncertainty Management (OPTIMUM), to provide a solution that integrates the whole of the layered defense system in a framework that incorporates many sources of uncertainty and provides a decision rationale to human operators, allowing them to quickly determine the consequences of overriding any system-generated decision. This approach uses market-based optimization, which applies solutions from economic theory, particularly game theory, to battle management and fire control by creating an artificial market for weapon and sensor capabilities. With a properly designed market, we can engineer a system that reaches competitive equilibrium, ensuring an optimal allocation of assets and resources.

* Information listed above is at the time of submission. *

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